Contract Projections

AI-powered contract projections for upcoming free agents and extension candidates, with market-adjusted comparables based on current salary cap projections.

2025 Free Agency Projections

Based on $88M salary cap with projected market growth and comparable adjustments

Contract Status Guide

UFA

Can sign with any team

RFA

Current team has matching rights

Extension

Under contract, extension eligible

Connor McDavid

EDM

C$16.35M AAV

Slight Underpay

Extension

Connor McDavid

EDM

C • Age 21

8 years, $12.5M AAV (expires 2026)

Extension

Slight Underpay

Long Term Deal

$16.35M AAV

8 years • $130.8M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $18.21M

+$1.86M Surplus

PVPI: 98.7

Low Comparable

Connor McDavid

Original: $12.4M

Adjusted: $16.35M

High Comparable

Alex Ovechkin

Original: $9.54M

Adjusted: $17.49M

Analysis Notes Available

Kirill Kaprizov

MIN

LW$15M AAV

Fair Deal

Extension Eligible

Kirill Kaprizov

MIN

LW • Age 29

5 years, $9.0M AAV (expires 2026)

Extension Eligible

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$15M AAV

8 years • $120M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $14.05M

$-0.95M Deficit

PVPI: 94.2

Low Comparable

Mikko Rantanen

Original: $12M

Adjusted: $13.07M

High Comparable

Artemi Panarin

Original: $5M

Adjusted: $14.86M

Analysis Notes Available

Jack Eichel

VGK

C$14.62M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2026

Jack Eichel

VGK

C • Age 29

8 year, $10.00M AAV (expires 2026)

UFA 2026

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$14.62M AAV

3 years • $10.5M total

Low Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $13.88M

$-0.74M Deficit

PVPI: 93.2

Low Comparable

John Tavares

Original: $11M

Adjusted: $14.39M

High Comparable

Leon Draisaitl

Original: $14M

Adjusted: $15.24M

Analysis Notes Available

Mitchell Marner

TOR

RW$14.285M AAV

Slight Overpay

UFA 2025

Mitchell Marner

TOR

RW • Age 28

6 years, $10.9M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Slight Overpay

Long Term Deal

$14.285M AAV

7 years • $100M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $12.32M

$-1.97M Deficit

PVPI: 91

Low Comparable

David Pastrnak

Original: $11.25M

Adjusted: $12.86M

High Comparable

Artemi Panarin

Original: $11.6M

Adjusted: $13.65M

Analysis Notes Available

Kyle Connor

WPG

W$12M AAV

Fair Deal

Extension

Kyle Connor

WPG

W • Age 29

7 years, $7.14M AAV (expires 2026)

Extension

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$12M AAV

8 years • $96M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $11.97M

$-0.03M Deficit

PVPI: 91.5

Low Comparable

Jake Guentzel

Original: $9M

Adjusted: $10.64M

High Comparable

Matthew Tkachuk

Original: $9.5M

Adjusted: $10.98M

Analysis Notes Available

Evan Bouchard

EDM

D$11M AAV

Excellent Value

RFA 2025

Evan Bouchard

EDM

D • Age 25

2 years, $3.9M AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025

Excellent Value

Long Term Deal

$11M AAV

8 years • $88M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $13.75M

+$2.75M Surplus

PVPI: 90.1

Low Comparable

Charlie McAvoy

Original: $9.5M

Adjusted: $11M

High Comparable

Rasmus Dahlin

Original: $11M

Adjusted: $11.94M

Analysis Notes Available

Noah Dobson

NYI

D$10.37M AAV

Slight Underpay

RFA 2025

Noah Dobson

NYI

D • Age 25

3 years, $4.0M AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025

Slight Underpay

Long Term Deal

$10.37M AAV

8 years • $82.96M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $12.15M

+$1.78M Surplus

PVPI: 88.7

Low Comparable

Mikhail Sergachev

Original: $8.5M

Adjusted: $9.72M

High Comparable

Zach Werenski

Original: $9.583M

Adjusted: $11.1M

Analysis Notes Available

Nikolaj Ehlers

WPG

LW$9.1M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Nikolaj Ehlers

WPG

LW • Age 29

7 years, $6.0M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$9.1M AAV

7 years • $63.7M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $8.58M

$-0.52M Deficit

PVPI: 88.8

Low Comparable

Travis Konecny

Original: $8.75M

Adjusted: $8.75M

High Comparable

Kevin Fiala

Original: $7.875M

Adjusted: $9.12M

Analysis Notes Available

Aaron Ekblad

FLA

D$8.33M AAV

Significant Overpay

UFA 2025

Aaron Ekblad

FLA

D • Age 29

8 years, $7.5M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Significant Overpay

Long Term Deal

$8.33M AAV

6 years • $50M total

Low Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $6.27M

$-2.06M Deficit

PVPI: 85.3

Low Comparable

Brandom Montour

Original: $2.5M

Adjusted: $7.75M

High Comparable

Jacob Chychrun

Original: $4M

Adjusted: $9M

Analysis Notes Available

John Tavares

TOR

C$8.2M AAV

Slight Underpay

UFA 2025

John Tavares

TOR

C • Age 34

7 years, $11.0M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Slight Underpay

Long Term Deal

$8.2M AAV

4 years • $32.8M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $9.5M

+$1.3M Surplus

PVPI: 88.7

Low Comparable

Joe Pavelski

Original: $7M

Adjusted: $8.2M

High Comparable

Steven Stamkos

Original: $8M

Adjusted: $8.68M

Analysis Notes Available

JJ Peterka

BUF

LW$8M AAV

Fair Deal

RFA 2025

JJ Peterka

BUF

LW • Age 23

3 years, $855.83K AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$8M AAV

7 years • $56M total

High Confidence

Bridge Option

$6.89M × 3 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.1M

+$0.3M Surplus

PVPI: 85.8

Low Comparable

Brock Boeser

Original: $5.875M

Adjusted: $6.89M

High Comparable

Alexis Lafreniere

Original: $7.45M

Adjusted: $7.45M

Analysis Notes Available

Matt Duchene

DAL

C$7.95M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Matt Duchene

DAL

C • Age 34

1 year, $3.0M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$7.95M AAV

3 years • $23.85M total

Low Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $8.64M

+$0.69M Surplus

PVPI: 87.4

Low Comparable

Paul Stastny

Original: $6.5M

Adjusted: $7.811M

High Comparable

Joe Pavelski

Original: $7M

Adjusted: $8.2M

Analysis Notes Available

Vladislav Gavrikov

LAK

D$7.91M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Vladislav Gavrikov

LAK

D • Age 29

2 years, $5.875M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$7.91M AAV

7 years • $55.35M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $7.64M

$-0.27M Deficit

PVPI: 88.1

Low Comparable

Jacob Slavin

Original: $5M

Adjusted: $6.4M

High Comparable

Marc-Edouard Vlasic

Original: $7M

Adjusted: $8.414M

Analysis Notes Available

Brock Boeser

VAN

RW$7.62M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Brock Boeser

VAN

RW • Age 28

3 years, $6.65M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$7.62M AAV

5 years • $38.1M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $6.88M

$-0.736M Deficit

PVPI: 84.4

Low Comparable

Andre Burakovsky

Original: $5.5M

Adjusted: $6.37M

High Comparable

James van Riemsdyk

Original: $7M

Adjusted: $8.41M

Analysis Notes Available

Mikael Granlund

DAL

W/C$7M AAV

Significant Overpay

UFA 2025

Mikael Granlund

DAL

W/C • Age 33

4 years, $5.0M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Significant Overpay

Long Term Deal

$7M AAV

3 years • $21M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $4.03M

$-2.97M Deficit

PVPI: 83

Low Comparable

Jason Zucker

Original: $5M

Adjusted: $5M

High Comparable

Claude Giroux

Original: $6M

Adjusted: $7.53M

Analysis Notes Available

Marco Rossi

MIN

C$7M AAV

Excellent Value

RFA 2025 (No Arbitration Rights)

Marco Rossi

MIN

C • Age 23

3 year, $5.0M AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025 (No Arbitration Rights)

Excellent Value

Long Term Deal

$7M AAV

6 years • $42M total

Medium Confidence

Bridge Option

$5.25M × 3 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $10.6M

+$3.6M Surplus

PVPI: 86.2

Low Comparable

Anton Lundell

Original: $5M

Adjusted: $5.42M

High Comparable

Bo Horvat

Original: $5.5M

Adjusted: $7M

Analysis Notes Available

Ivan Provorov

CBJ

D$7M AAV

Slight Overpay

UFA 2025

Ivan Provorov

CBJ

D • Age 28

6 years, $6.75M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Slight Overpay

Long Term Deal

$7M AAV

6 years • $42M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.84M

$-1.16M Deficit

PVPI: 82.8

Low Comparable

Brett Pesce

Original: $5.5M

Adjusted: $6.4M

High Comparable

Neal Pionk

Original: $7M

Adjusted: $7.2M

Analysis Notes Available

K'Andre Miller

NYR

D$6.8M AAV

Fair Deal

RFA 2025

K'Andre Miller

NYR

D • Age 25

2 years, $3.87M AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$6.8M AAV

7 years • $47.6M total

High Confidence

Bridge Option

$5.2M × 3 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $7.1M

+$0.3M Surplus

PVPI: 88.7

Low Comparable

Moritz Seider

Original: $6M

Adjusted: $6.4M

High Comparable

Charlie McAvoy

Original: $8M

Adjusted: $7.2M

Analysis Notes Available

Bowen Byram

BUF

D$6.5M AAV

Fair Deal

RFA 2025

Bowen Byram

BUF

D • Age 23

2 years, $3.85M AAV (expires 2025)

RFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$6.5M AAV

6 years • $39M total

Medium Confidence

Bridge Option

$4.8M × 2 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $7.2M

+$0.7M Surplus

PVPI: 87.3

Low Comparable

Jake Sanderson

Original: $5.5M

Adjusted: $6M

High Comparable

Owen Power

Original: $7.5M

Adjusted: $7M

Analysis Notes Available

Brad Marchand

FLA

W$6.093M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Brad Marchand

FLA

W • Age 37

8 years, $6.13M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$6.093M AAV

2 years • $12.186M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.69M

$-0.403M Deficit

PVPI: 87.8

Low Comparable

Nick Foligno

Original: $4.5M

Adjusted: $4.88M

High Comparable

Justin Williams

Original: $4.5M

Adjusted: $5.73M

Analysis Notes Available

Andrey Kuzmenko

LAK

RW$5.5M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Andrey Kuzmenko

LAK

RW • Age 29

2 years, $5.5M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$5.5M AAV

3 years • $16.5M total

High Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.75M

+$0.25M Surplus

PVPI: 83.2

Low Comparable

Mike Hoffman

Original: $5.52M

Adjusted: $5.27M

High Comparable

Kyle Palmieri

Original: $6.13M

Adjusted: $5.85M

Analysis Notes Available

Pius Suter

VAN

C/W$5.25M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Pius Suter

VAN

C/W • Age 33

2 years, $1.6M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$5.25M AAV

2 years • $10.5M total

High Confidence

Bridge Option

$5.25M × 2 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.83M

+$0.58M Surplus

PVPI: 83.5

Low Comparable

Alex Kerfoot

Original: $3.5M

Adjusted: $4M

High Comparable

Alexander Wennberg

Original: $5M

Adjusted: $5.42M

Analysis Notes Available

Claude Giroux

OTT

W$4.5M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Claude Giroux

OTT

W • Age 37

3 years, $6.5M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$4.5M AAV

2 years • $9M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $4.81M

+$0.31M Surplus

PVPI: 82.9

Low Comparable

David Perron

Original: $4M

Adjusted: $4.3M

High Comparable

Nick Foligno

Original: $4.5M

Adjusted: $4.88M

Analysis Notes Available

Ryan Lindgren

COL

D$4.225M AAV

Slight Overpay

UFA 2025

Ryan Lindgren

COL

D • Age 27

1 years, $4.5M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Slight Overpay

Long Term Deal

$4.225M AAV

4 years • $16.9M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5M

+$0.2M Surplus

PVPI: 76.1

Low Comparable

Will Borgen

Original: $4.1M

Adjusted: $4.1M

High Comparable

Ryan Graves

Original: $4.5M

Adjusted: $5.15M

Analysis Notes Available

Ryan Donato

CHI

LW$4.2M AAV

Slight Underpay

UFA 2025

Ryan Donato

CHI

LW • Age 29

4 years, $5.0M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Slight Underpay

Long Term Deal

$4.2M AAV

4 years • $16.8M total

Medium Confidence

Bridge Option

$4.35M × 3 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $5.15M

+$0.8M Surplus

PVPI: 85.8

Low Comparable

Anthony Duclair

Original: $3.5M

Adjusted: $3.8M

High Comparable

Ryan Hartman

Original: $4M

Adjusted: $4.6M

Analysis Notes Available

Cody Ceci

DAL

D$3.8M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Cody Ceci

DAL

D • Age 31

4 years, $3.25M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$3.8M AAV

4 years • $15.2M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $4M

+$0.2M Surplus

PVPI: 84.5

Low Comparable

Brett Kulak

Original: $3M

Adjusted: $3.4M

High Comparable

Nikita Zadorov

Original: $4.5M

Adjusted: $4.2M

Analysis Notes Available

David Savard

MTL

D$3.2M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

David Savard

MTL

D • Age 34

4 years, $3.5M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$3.2M AAV

3 years • $9.6M total

Medium Confidence

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $3.5M

+$0.3M Surplus

PVPI: 83.2

Low Comparable

Erik Gustafsson

Original: $2.5M

Adjusted: $2.8M

High Comparable

Luke Schenn

Original: $4M

Adjusted: $3.6M

Analysis Notes Available

Jack Roslovic

CAR

C/W$2.44M AAV

Fair Deal

UFA 2025

Jack Roslovic

CAR

C/W • Age 28

1 years, $2.8M AAV (expires 2025)

UFA 2025

Fair Deal

Long Term Deal

$2.44M AAV

2 years • $4.88M total

Medium Confidence

Bridge Option

$2.44M × 2 yrs

PV Analysis

Projected Annual Market Value: $2.7M

+$0.26M Surplus

PVPI: 79.7

Low Comparable

Alexander Texier

Original: $2.1M

Adjusted: $2.28M

High Comparable

Andreas Athanasiou

Original: $3M

Adjusted: $3.48M

Analysis Notes Available